Tag: TradeTheTrend

  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – Summary

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – Summary

    If you’re new to this post, start with the first post explaining the “Trade the Trend” Strategy. approach.

    In early December 2025, SPDR redesigned its website and removed the monthly sector performance tracking feature, so December’s data is unavailable. Still, I briefly analyzed performance using the data from January through November 2025.


    Investment Overview

    Investing monthly across the 11 Sector SPDR ETFs, the total amount invested was $11,084.


    Sector Allocation Summary

    ETFSectorTotal Invested% of Portfolio
    XLBMaterials754.766.81%
    XLCCommunication Services1,100.059.93%
    XLEEnergy971.708.77%
    XLFFinancials875.607.90%
    XLIIndustrials1,139.3510.28%
    XLKTechnology1,391.6612.55%
    XLPConsumer Staples862.997.78%
    XLREReal Estate683.956.17%
    XLUUtilities1,193.3610.77%
    XLVHealth Care1,055.159.52%
    XLYConsumer Discretionary1,055.759.53%
    Total11,084.31100%

    Monthly investments:


    End-of-Year Portfolio Performance

    The portfolio’s cost basis stands at $11,191.08, with an unrealized gain of $943.08, representing +8.43%.

    Dividends for 2025 are reported in the demo account only from July onward and were not reinvested. The reported dividend figures below reflect the available timeframe (July-December) rather than a full-year total.


    Best and Worst Performing Sectors

    Top Performers
    • XLK (Technology)
    • XLC (Comm Services)
    • XLV (Health Care)
    • XLI (Industrials)
    Underperformers
    • XLP (Consumer Staples)
    • XLRE (Real Estate)

  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – November 2025 update

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – November 2025 update

    If you’re new to this post, please check the first post to know what this is about.

    Sector SPDR ETFs page was updated with October data, so it’s time to update our numbers and buy more participations to the ETFs.

    This is how the portfolio looks like as of October 8th close:

    Based on the manual monthly investment ranking process, these are the investment amounts I’ll be placing orders for this month.

    UpdatedSymbolSector1 MonthRankMonthly investment
    10-Nov-25XLKTechnology6.58%1                                  200.00
    10-Nov-25XLVHealth Care3.57%2                                  180.00
    10-Nov-25XLUUtilities2.10%3                                  150.00
    10-Nov-25XLIIndustrials0.47%4                                  120.00
    10-Nov-25XLYConsumer Discretionary0.08%5                                  100.00
    10-Nov-25XLEEnergy-1.39%6                                     80.00
    10-Nov-25XLPConsumer Staples-2.68%7                                     70.00
    10-Nov-25XLFFinancials-2.84%8                                     40.00
    10-Nov-25XLCCommunication Services-3.02%9                                     30.00
    10-Nov-25XLREReal Estate-3.02%10                                     20.00
    10-Nov-25XLBMaterials-4.48%11                                     10.00

  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – October 2025 update

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – October 2025 update

    If you’re new to this post, please check the first post to know what this is about.

    Sector SPDR ETFs page was updated with September data, so it’s time to update our numbers and buy more participations to the ETFs.

    This is how the portfolio looks like as of October 8th close:

    Based on the manual monthly investment ranking process, these are the investment amounts I’ll be placing orders for this month.

    UpdatedSymbolSector1 MonthRankMonthly investment
    8-Oct-25XLKTechnology7.62%1                                  200.00
    8-Oct-25XLCCommunication Services6.69%2                                  180.00
    8-Oct-25XLUUtilities4.13%3                                  150.00
    8-Oct-25XLYConsumer Discretionary3.62%4                                  120.00
    8-Oct-25XLIIndustrials1.94%5                                  100.00
    8-Oct-25XLVHealth Care1.78%6                                     80.00
    8-Oct-25XLREReal Estate0.41%7                                     70.00
    8-Oct-25XLFFinancials0.14%8                                     40.00
    8-Oct-25XLEEnergy-0.27%9                                     30.00
    8-Oct-25XLPConsumer Staples-2.27%10                                     20.00
    8-Oct-25XLBMaterials-2.36%11                                     10.00

  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – September 2025 update

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – September 2025 update

    If you’re new to this post, please check the first post to know what this is about.

    Sector SPDR ETFs page was updated with August data, so it’s time to update our numbers and buy more participations to the ETFs.

    This is how the portfolio looks like as of September 11th close:

    Based on the manual monthly investment ranking process, these are the investment amounts I’ll be placing orders for this month.

    UpdatedSymbolSector1 MonthRankMonthly investment
    12-Sep-25XLVHealth Care5.37%1200
    12-Sep-25XLBMaterials5.16%2180
    12-Sep-25XLYConsumer Discretionary4.65%3150
    12-Sep-25XLCCommunication Services3.65%4120
    12-Sep-25XLEEnergy3.61%5100
    12-Sep-25XLFFinancials3.11%680
    12-Sep-25XLREReal Estate2.17%770
    12-Sep-25XLPConsumer Staples1.23%840
    12-Sep-25XLIIndustrials0.00%930
    12-Sep-25XLKTechnology-0.03%1020
    12-Sep-25XLUUtilities-1.59%1110

  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – August 2025 update

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – August 2025 update

    If you’re new to this post, please check the first post to know what this is about.

    Sector SPDR ETFs page was updated with July data, so it’s time to update our numbers and buy more participations to the ETFs.

    This is how the portfolio looks like as of August 12th close:

    Based on the manual monthly investment ranking process, these are the investment amounts I’ll be placing orders for this month.

    UpdatedSymbolSector1 MonthRank 1 MonthMonthly investment
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Utilities4.93%1                                  200.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Technology3.63%2180.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Industrials3.00%3                                  150.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Energy2.80%4                                  120.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Consumer Discretionary1.85%5100.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Financials-0.05%6                                     80.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Materials-0.09%7                                     70.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Real Estate-0.10%840.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Communication Services-1.01%9                                     30.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Consumer Staples-1.49%10                                     20.00
    13-Jul-2531-07-25Health Care-3.26%11                                     10.00

  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – July 2025 update

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – July 2025 update

    If you’re new to this post, please check the first post to know what this is about.

    Sector SPDR ETFs page was updated with June data, so it’s time to update our numbers and buy more participations to the ETFs.

    This is how the portfolio looks like as of July 9th close:

    Based on the manual monthly investment ranking process, these are the investment amounts I’ll be placing orders for this month.

    UpdatedSymbolSector1 MonthRank 1 MonthMonthly investment
    30-06-25XLKTechnology9.70%1                                  200.00
    30-06-25XLCCommunication Services7.12%2                                  180.00
    30-06-25XLEEnergy4.42%3                                  150.00
    30-06-25XLIIndustrials3.44%4                                  120.00
    30-06-25XLFFinancials3.04%5                                  100.00
    30-06-25XLBMaterials2.00%680.00
    30-06-25XLVHealth Care1.85%7                                     70.00
    30-06-25XLYConsumer Discretionary1.70%8                                     40.00
    30-06-25XLUUtilities0.03%9                                     30.00
    30-06-25XLREReal Estate-0.21%10                                     20.00
    30-06-25XLPConsumer Staples-1.87%11                                     10.00


  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – June 2025 update

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – June 2025 update

    If you’re new to this post, please check the first post to know what this is about.

    Sector SPDR ETFs page was updated with May data, so it’s time to update our numbers and buy more participations to the ETFs.

    This is how the portfolio looks like as of June 9th close:

    Based on the manual monthly investment ranking process, these are the investment amounts I’ll be placing orders for this month.

    UpdatedSymbolSector1 MonthRankMonthly investment
    31-05-25XLKTechnology9.92%1                                  200.00
    31-05-25XLIIndustrials8.82%2                                  180.00
    31-05-25XLYConsumer Discretionary8.48%3                                  150.00
    31-05-25XLCCommunication Services6.20%4                                  120.00
    31-05-25XLFFinancials4.42%5                                  100.00
    31-05-25XLUUtilities3.88%6                                     80.00
    31-05-25XLBMaterials2.85%7                                     70.00
    31-05-25XLEEnergy1.38%8                                     40.00
    31-05-25XLPConsumer Staples1.22%9                                     30.00
    31-05-25XLREReal Estate0.98%10                                     20.00
    31-05-25XLVHealth Care-5.54%11                                     10.00


  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – May 2025 update

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – May 2025 update

    If you’re new to this post, please check the first post to know what this is about.

    Sector SPDR ETFs page was updated with April data, so it’s time to update our numbers and buy more participations to the ETFs.

    This is how the portfolio looks like as of May 9th close:

    Based on the manual monthly investment ranking process, these are the investment amounts I’ll be placing orders for this month.

    UpdatedSymbolSector1 MonthRank 1 MonthMonthly investment
    30-04-25XLKTechnology1.82%1                                  200.00
    30-04-25XLPConsumer Staples0.28%2                                  180.00
    30-04-25XLIIndustrials0.19%3                                  150.00
    30-04-25XLUUtilities0.09%4                                  120.00
    30-04-25XLYConsumer Discretionary-0.08%5                                  100.00
    30-04-25XLCCommunication Services-0.95%6                                     80.00
    30-04-25XLREReal Estate-1.21%7                                     70.00
    30-04-25XLFFinancials-2.08%8                                     40.00
    30-04-25XLBMaterials-2.33%9                                     30.00
    30-04-25XLVHealth Care-3.71%10                                     20.00
    30-04-25XLEEnergy-13.83%11                                     10.00


  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – April 2025 update

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – April 2025 update

    If you’re new to this post, please check the first post to know what this is about.

    Sector SPDR ETFs page was updated with March data, so it’s time to update our numbers and buy more participations to the ETFs.

    Since last update, here is how the portfolio looks like as of April 10th close (don’t forget about Trump’s tariffs messing up the markets lately 🙂 ):

    Following the process of the manual monthly investment based on rank, here is how the SPDR ETFs looked like at the end of March 2025 and the monthly investment amount I will put orders for.

    During this interesting tariffs-time, all but Energy and Utilities sectors were negative. This is a good time to buy 🙂

    UpdatedSymbolSector1 MonthRankMonthly investment
    31-03-25XLEEnergy3.45%1200
    31-03-25XLUUtilities0.26%2180
    31-03-25XLPConsumer Staples-1.15%3150
    31-03-25XLVHealth Care-1.69%4120
    31-03-25XLREReal Estate-2.42%5100
    31-03-25XLBMaterials-2.73%680
    31-03-25XLIIndustrials-3.60%770
    31-03-25XLFFinancials-4.21%840
    31-03-25XLCCommunication Services-5.19%930
    31-03-25XLYConsumer Discretionary-8.31%1020
    31-03-25XLKTechnology-8.33%1110

    Based on above table, I will proceed with buying the ETFs with the amounts listed in the Monthly investment column.


  • “Trade the Trend” Strategy – March 2025 update

    “Trade the Trend” Strategy – March 2025 update

    If you’re new to this post, please check the first post to know what this is about.

    Sector SPDR ETFs page was updated with February data, so it’s time to update our numbers and buy more participations to the ETFs.

    Since last update, here is how the portfolio looks like as of yesterday’s close:

    I’ve been thinking on how to distribute the weight better and found no automatic way to calculate the weight based on positive and negative returns. So, I decided to simplify this to the maximum by assigning a specific amount to each “rank”.

    The company with the highest return in the previous month is ranked as 1st, the next one is 2nd and so on. Afterwards, the monthly investment amount is manually assigned as below:

    UpdatedSymbolSector1 MonthRankMonthly investment
    28-02-25XLPConsumer Staples5.08%1200
    28-02-25XLREReal Estate4.22%2180
    28-02-25XLEEnergy3.79%3150
    28-02-25XLUUtilities1.68%4120
    28-02-25XLVHealth Care1.48%5100
    28-02-25XLFFinancials1.41%680
    28-02-25XLBMaterials-0.02%770
    28-02-25XLCCommunication Services-0.37%840
    28-02-25XLIIndustrials-1.44%930
    28-02-25XLKTechnology-2.26%1020
    28-02-25XLYConsumer Discretionary-7.02%1110

    Based on above table, I will proceed with buying the ETFs with the amounts listed in the Monthly investment column.